The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 39.1% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, whereas Trump will win 60.9%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to achieve 39.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models can incorporate substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 59.2% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Dakota.