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North Dakota: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 39.1% of the two-party vote share in North Dakota, whereas Trump will win 60.9%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to achieve 39.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can incorporate substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 59.2% of the two-party vote in North Dakota. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in North Dakota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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