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New York: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 63.8% for Clinton, and 36.3% for Trump in New York. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to obtain 35.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, you should consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 63.1% of the two-party vote in New York. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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