The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 42.1% of the two-party vote share in Montana, while Trump will win 58.0%. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was still predicted to obtain 58.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.4% of the two-party vote in Montana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.