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Montana: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 42.1% of the two-party vote share in Montana, while Trump will win 58.0%. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was still predicted to obtain 58.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.4% of the two-party vote in Montana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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