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Missouri: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 46.9% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, whereas Trump will win 53.1%. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to win 52.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 53.5% of the two-party vote in Missouri. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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