The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 56.1% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, whereas Trump will win 44.0%. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to obtain 43.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 54.8% of the two-party vote in Michigan. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Michigan.