Jerome model in Utah: Trump is in the lead
The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Utah.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, because they often incorporate substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 59.5% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.