The Jérôme & Jérôme model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to this model, Clinton and Trump will each collect 50% of the two-party vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton currently achieves 50.0% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. When compared to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 0.2 percentage points better in the Jérôme & Jérôme model.
The Jérôme & Jérôme model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.9% and Trump 46.1% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 3.7 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.