The Issue-index model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 56.6% for Clinton, and 43.4% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Single index models should be regarded with caution, since they may incorporate large biases. Rather, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results vs. other index models
If we look at an average of index models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 53.6%. Relative to numbers in the Issue-index index model Clinton's index model average is 3 percentage points worse.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote. The results of the Issue-index model for Clinton are thus 2.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.