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Indiana: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 44.7% for Clinton, and 55.3% for Trump in Indiana. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to win 55.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in Indiana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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