Idaho: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 34.0% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, while Trump will end up with 66.0%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may incorporate large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 64.1% of the two-party vote in Idaho. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.