Idaho: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 34.0% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, while Trump will end up with 66.0%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may incorporate large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 64.1% of the two-party vote in Idaho. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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