The Holbrook & DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 52.9% for Clinton, and 47.1% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Single models often include large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton currently runs at 50.0% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. This value is 2.9 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the Holbrook & DeSart model.
The Holbrook & DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.0 percentage points more compared to the results of the Holbrook & DeSart model.