The Fiscal model model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 48.2% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 51.8%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, since they often incorporate substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models has Trump at 50.0% of the two-party vote. In comparison to numbers in the Fiscal model model Trump's econometric model average is 1.8 percentage points worse.
The Fiscal model model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 46.1% of the two-party vote. The results of the Fiscal model model for Trump are thus 5.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.