The Electoral-cycle model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 48.6% for Clinton, and 51.4% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, because they may contain large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
Trump is currently at 50.0% of the major two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. In comparison to numbers in the Electoral-cycle model Trump's econometric model average is 1.4 percentage points worse.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 46.1% of the two-party vote. The results of the Electoral-cycle model for Trump are thus 5.3 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.