DeSart model: Clinton tied with Trump

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a tie, with both Clinton and Trump winning 50% of the two-party vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may contain large biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models sees Clinton at 50.0% of the two-party vote. In comparison to the average forecast of other models Clinton performed 0.2 percentage points worse in the DeSart model.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.9% and Trump 46.1% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 4.1 percentage points less when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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