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DeSart & Holbrook model in Virginia: Clinton is in the lead


The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 54.1% for Clinton, and 45.9% for Trump in Virginia. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to achieve 55.0% of the vote.

Historically, Virginia has been a swing state, in which neither of the two major parties has had overwhelming support to clinch its electoral college votes. This is why forecasts in this state are of particular value.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts. The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 54.1% of the two-party vote in Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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