DeSart & Holbrook model in Utah: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 36.8% of the two-party vote share in Utah, whereas Trump will end up with 63.2%. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to gain 62.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 59.5% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.