DeSart & Holbrook model in Utah: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 36.8% of the two-party vote share in Utah, whereas Trump will end up with 63.2%. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to gain 62.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 59.5% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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