DeSart & Holbrook model in South Carolina: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 43.8% for Clinton, and 56.3% for Trump in South Carolina.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 54.5% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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