DeSart & Holbrook model in Rhode Island: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 63.0% for Clinton, and 37.0% for Trump in Rhode Island. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was still predicted to win 37.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 60.9% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Rhode Island.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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