The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 51.3% for Clinton, and 48.8% for Trump in Ohio.
Ohio is traditionally a purple state, where the two major political parties have often gained similar levels of support among voters. Therefore, the election outcome in that state is regarded important in determining the overall result of the presidential election.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, one should rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 50.9% of the two-party vote in Ohio. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Ohio.