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DeSart & Holbrook model in Ohio: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 51.3% for Clinton, and 48.8% for Trump in Ohio.

Ohio is traditionally a purple state, where the two major political parties have often gained similar levels of support among voters. Therefore, the election outcome in that state is regarded important in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, as they often incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, one should rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 50.9% of the two-party vote in Ohio. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Ohio.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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