DeSart & Holbrook model in North Carolina: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 50.3% for Clinton, and 49.7% for Trump in North Carolina. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to achieve 49.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 50.4% of the two-party vote in North Carolina. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.1 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in North Carolina.