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DeSart & Holbrook model in Minnesota: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 53.7% for Clinton, and 46.4% for Trump in Minnesota. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to garner 46.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can incorporate substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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