DeSart & Holbrook model in Massachusetts: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 65.3% for Clinton, and 34.7% for Trump in Massachusetts. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to win 33.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 64.4% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Massachusetts.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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