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DeSart & Holbrook model in Louisiana: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 43.0% for Clinton, and 57.0% for Trump in Louisiana. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to collect 56.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often contain large errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 58.0% of the two-party vote in Louisiana. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Louisiana.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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