The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 61.3% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, while Trump will win 38.7%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to end up with 62.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can include large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 59.9% of the two-party vote in Illinois. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.