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DeSart model in Hawaii: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will win 29.9%.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 69.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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