The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will win 29.9%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 69.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.