DeSart & Holbrook model in Georgia: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 48.8% of the two-party vote share in Georgia, while Trump will end up with 51.2%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, since they can incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 52.1% of the two-party vote in Georgia. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.9 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Georgia.