DeSart & Holbrook model in Florida: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will garner 51.7% of the two-party vote share in Florida, whereas Trump will end up with 48.3%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to collect 51.9% of the vote.

Florida is traditionally a battleground state, where Democrats and Republicans have historically won similar levels of support among voters. Hence, the election outcome here is regarded critical in determining who will win the majority of electoral votes.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, since they may include substantial biases. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 51.4% of the two-party vote in Florida. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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