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DeSart & Holbrook model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 58.7% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, whereas Trump will win 41.3%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to win 58.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 59.7% of the two-party vote in Delaware. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.0 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Delaware.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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