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DeSart & Holbrook model in Alabama: Trump is in the lead


The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 39.2% for Clinton, and 60.8% for Trump in Alabama.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they can incorporate large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 60.1% of the two-party vote in Alabama. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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