The Convention bump model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a major vote share of 51.2% for Clinton, and 48.8% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not be too confident the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
If we look at an average of econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 50.0%. Relative to numbers in the Convention bump model Clinton's econometric model average is 1.2 percentage points lower.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote. The results of the Convention bump model for Clinton are thus 2.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.