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Clinton leads in Connecticut by 15 points in new Emerson poll


Results of a new poll administered by Emerson were distributed. The poll asked participants from Connecticut for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Emerson poll results




Of those who answered the question, 50.0% said that they plan to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 35.0% said that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from September 2 to September 5, among a random sample of 1000 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.0 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of a single poll. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, we recommend to consult combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, we convert them into two-party vote shares. The resulting figures are 58.8% for Clinton and 41.2% for Trump. On April 11 Clinton received only 54.6% in the Emerson poll and Trump received 45.5%.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 58.3% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. Hence, Polly's combined forecast is 0.5 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus in line with the poll's error margin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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