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California: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 63.0% for Clinton, and 37.0% for Trump in California. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to garner 36.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 62.0% of the two-party vote in California. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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