The Bio-index model is included in the index models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 58.3% for Clinton, and 41.7% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Individual index models should be regarded with caution, because they often contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single index models, the recommended strategy use combined index models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Results compared to other index models
Looking at an average of index models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 53.7%. In comparison to numbers in the Bio-index index model Clinton's index model average is 4.6 percentage points lower.
The Bio-index model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Bio-index model.