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Bio-index model shows Clinton in the lead


The Bio-index model is included in the index models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 58.3% for Clinton, and 41.7% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

Individual index models should be regarded with caution, because they often contain large errors. Rather than relying on results from single index models, the recommended strategy use combined index models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Results compared to other index models

Looking at an average of index models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 53.7%. In comparison to numbers in the Bio-index index model Clinton's index model average is 4.6 percentage points lower.

The Bio-index model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 53.9% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the Bio-index model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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