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Alaska: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 42.7% for Clinton, and 57.3% for Trump in Alaska. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to end up with 43.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, since they may incorporate large biases. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.6% of the two-party vote in Alaska. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alaska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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