DeSart model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 25.5% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, while Trump will end up with 74.5%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they often incorporate substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 69.3% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.