Wisconsin: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 53.8% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, whereas Trump will end up with 46.2%. In comparison, on October 19 Trump was still predicted to collect 46.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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