Wisconsin: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 53.7% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, whereas Trump will win 46.3%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may contain substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 52.7% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.