WFAA-TV/SurveyUSAWFAA-TV/SurveyUSA published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from Texas were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.
WFAA-TV/SurveyUSAWFAA-TV/SurveyUSA poll results
The results show that 43.0% of respondents indicated that they would vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 47.0% plan to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out from October 10 to October 12 with 638 likely voters.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be regarded with caution, because they may incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, we recommend to look at combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 47.8% for Clinton and 52.2% for Trump.
Results in comparison to other polls
An average of recent polls in Texas has Trump at 53.4% of the two-party vote. Compared to his numbers in the WFAA-TV/SurveyUSAWFAA-TV/SurveyUSA poll Trump's poll average is 1.2 percentage points higher.
The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in Texas. This means that the PollyVote forecast is 3.0 points above his polling numbers.