Washington: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 58.6% for Clinton, and 41.4% for Trump in Washington.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 58.0% of the two-party vote in Washington. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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