Washington, D.C.: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead
The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 86.6% of the two-party vote share in Washington, D.C., whereas Trump will end up with 13.4%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 88.2% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.