The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 66.5% for Clinton, and 33.5% for Trump in Vermont.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often contain large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, we recommend to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 67.2% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Vermont.