Texas: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 44.1% for Clinton, and 55.9% for Trump in Texas. In comparison, on October 14, Clinton was predicted to gain only 42.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they may include substantial biases. Instead of relying on results from single models, one should rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in Texas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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