The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 44.1% of the two-party vote share in Texas, whereas Trump will end up with 55.9%. In comparison, on October 14, Clinton was predicted to gain only 42.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in Texas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.