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Texas: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 44.1% of the two-party vote share in Texas, whereas Trump will end up with 55.9%. In comparison, on October 14, Clinton was predicted to gain only 42.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 55.2% of the two-party vote in Texas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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