South Dakota: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 42.6% for Clinton, and 57.4% for Trump in South Dakota.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of a single econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.9% of the two-party vote in South Dakota. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.5 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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