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South Carolina: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 43.7% of the two-party vote share in South Carolina, while Trump will end up with 56.3%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 54.4% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in South Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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