Pennsylvania: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 54.6% of the two-party vote share in Pennsylvania, while Trump will win 45.4%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Pennsylvania.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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