The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 54.6% of the two-party vote share in Pennsylvania, while Trump will win 45.4%.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Pennsylvania.