Pennsylvania: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 54.7% for Clinton, and 45.3% for Trump in Pennsylvania.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, one should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.8% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.