The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 54.7% of the two-party vote share in Pennsylvania, while Trump will win 45.3%. In comparison, on October 14 Trump was predicted to garner 45.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 53.7% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.