The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 56.2% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, while Trump will win 43.8%. In comparison, on October 14, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 56.1% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, since they may include substantial errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 57.4% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.2 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.