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Oregon: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 56.2% of the two-party vote share in Oregon, whereas Trump will end up with 43.8%. In comparison, on October 14, Clinton was predicted to gain only 56.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, since they often incorporate large biases. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 57.3% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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